Thursday, April 16, 2009

Coin flipping now unfair. Goddammit.

So it turns out that even flipping a coin isn't fair anymore! According to Coding the Wheel, there's actually about a 51% chance that it'll end up on the side it started on. FTA:
The 50-50 proposition is actually more of a 51-49 proposition, if not worse. The sacred coin flip exhibits (at minimum) a whopping 1% bias, and possibly much more. 1% may not sound like a lot, but it's more than the typical casino edge in a game of blackjack.
Also, they've built a machine that can land a flipped coin on heads every time.

Dammit. Now we're back to throwing a cat with a piece of buttered toast strapped to its back in the air and figuring out which side it lands on.

(via Stanford- CAUTION: 31-page PDF)

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